The “strategic triangle” between America, China, and Russia has been a defining force in global politics since World War II. The coordination between Mao Zedong and Josef Stalin in the 1950s fueled America’s determination to stop the spread of communism, leading to wars in Korea and Vietnam. Mao’s split with Nikita Khrushchev later paved the way for America’s rapprochement with China and their joint fight against Soviet forces in Afghanistan, ultimately ending the Cold War.
Now, a new shift is occurring. Chinese leader Xi Jinping recently visited Moscow, his first since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine last year. This visit was seen as a display of solidarity amidst international pressure on Russia, with Xi even inviting Putin to visit China and endorsing his re-election in 2024. The two leaders signed a statement opposing the American-led global order and pledging deeper ties in trade, military exercises, and space. American officials suspect that Xi may be considering Russia’s request for lethal weapons in Ukraine, potentially drawing China into a proxy war with NATO.
However, China portrays Xi’s visit as a peacekeeping effort, with no offer of arms. Xi reiterated his call for a ceasefire and promoted a peace plan proposed by China in February. Putin praised the plan and committed to starting peace talks with Ukraine. To offset Western criticism of the Moscow visit, Xi is expected to hold virtual talks with Ukraine’s president. This move may appeal to developing countries and those in the West seeking to ease tensions with China.
Overall, this visit highlights the evolving dynamics between America, China, and Russia. It signifies a strengthening alliance between China and Russia, potentially leading to further shifts in global politics. The outcome of their discussions and potential involvement in the conflict in Ukraine will have significant implications for the balance of power in international relations.